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Introduction: The contours of world development -- The history of macro-measurement -- The shape of things to come -- Part I. Contours of world development, 1--2003AD: 1. The Roman Empire and its economy: -- Introduction -- Key characteristics accounting for Roman success in empire building -- Conquest of the Italian Peninsula, 396--191BC -- The empire building process -- The disintegration of the empire -- Roman demography -- Roman income -- Endnotes -- Bibliography -- 2. The resurrection of Western Europe and the transformation of the americas: Why and when did the west get rich? -- The driving forces that explain the acceleration in western growth since 1820 -- Changes in the structure of demand and employment -- The european transformation of the Americas, 1500--1820 -- Endnotes -- References -- 3. The interaction between Asia and the West, 1500--2003: European-Asian interaction from 1500 to 1820 -- The impact of Asian trade on Europe, 1500--1820 -- The impact of Europe on Asia, 1500--1820 -- Endnotes -- References -- 4. The impact of Islam and Europe on African development 1-2003AD: Introduction -- The European impact on North Africa before the seventh century -- The Islamic conquest and its implications -- Egypt as Islamic state -- The Maghreb and the initiation of Trans-Saharan trade in gold and slaves -- The changing character of Moroccan dynasties and their interaction with Europe and Black Africa -- Black Africa and the impact of Islam -- The European encounter with Africa -- Africa from 1820 to 1960 -- Post-colonial Africa, 1960 onwards -- Appendix: The Crusades 1096-1270 -- Endnotes -- References -- Part II. Advances in macro-measurement since 1665: 5. Political arithmeticians and historical demographers: the pioneers of macro-measurement: William Petty (1623--87) -- John Graunt: the first demographer (1620--74) -- Gregory King (1648--1712) and Charles Davenant (1656--1714) -- Patrick Colquhoun (1745--1820) -- French political arithmetic, 1695--1707 -- Macro-measurement in the nineteenth and first half of the twentieth century -- Bibliography -- 6. Modern macro-measurement: how far have we come?: Development of macro-measurement as a tool of economic policy since 1950 -- Quantifying and interpreting world economic growth from 1820 onwards -- Economic performance in the merchant capitalist epoch: 1500--1820 -- The roots of modernity: 'takeoff' or long apprenticeship -- Appendices -- Endnotes -- Bibliography -- Part III. The shape of things to come: 7. The world economy in 2030: Projections of population and changes in demographic characteristics -- Assumptions underlying the projections of per capita GDP -- The relationship between economic growth, energy consumption, carbon emissions, and global warming -- The impact of climate change -- The Kyoto Protocol -- The report of the House of Lords on climate change -- The Stern review of the economics of climate change -- Conclusions on global warming.
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